NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Cigarette taxes might seem designed to
make smokers miserable, but a recent study by two MIT economists
found that, not only are higher taxes good for smokers, they
actually make smokers happy.
"Smokers are made better-off by taxes, as they provide a valuable
self-control device," said MIT economists Jonathan Gruber and
Sendhil Mullainathan, in a research paper entitled "Do Cigarette
Taxes Make Smokers Happier?"
The paper was published recently
on the Web site for the National
Bureau of Economic Research, which is most famous for setting
the dates of economic expansions and recessions in the United
States.
The economists' revelation is not exactly stunning -- after all,
the American Medical Association has said that, for every 10 percent
increase in cigarette taxes, demand for cigarettes is reduced by
about 4 percent.
Gruber and Mullainathan's study found that each 10-cent increase
in taxes could lead to a 6-percent decline in smoking.
The surprising part is that smokers paying more taxes are
actually happier, according to Gruber and Mullainathan. The
economists based this conclusion on data from the General Social
Surveys in the United States and Canada, which measure the happiness
of people in the states and provinces of both countries. They
compared happiness levels to the rate of cigarette taxes in each
state and province and made a surprising discovery.
"Our results are striking: those who are predicted to be smokers
are significantly happier when excise taxes rise," the economists
said. "The fact that this conclusion emerges so clearly in two
independent data sets, with different distributions of underlying
happiness indicators, is quite striking."
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In the United States, for example, the data indicated that each
penny of tax reduced smokers' unhappiness by 0.156 percentage
points, and a 50-cent tax rate might make smokers just as happy as
non-smokers.
While it might seem that taxes would make smokers suffer because
it raises the cost of doing something they enjoy, the economists
assumed that most smokers really want to quit, and higher taxes
finally impose on them the self-control device they seek.
Tobacco companies claim higher cigarette taxes are unfair and
that most of the burden falls on people making less than $35,000 per
year. And the data studied by Gruber and Mullainathan did
demonstrate that smokers tended to be less educated and were more
likely to be unemployed than non-smokers.
Nevertheless, smoking is "a very negative influence" on people's
well-being, the economists said, so reducing it, even by raising
taxes, would seem likely to improve people's lives and thus make
them happier. |